M. Anthony Nesmith/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Elijah Buchanan
Rider vs. Manhattan
| Rider Odds | -2.5 |
| Manhattan Odds | +2.5 |
| Over/Under | 136.5 |
| Time | 6 p.m. ET |
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On a loaded college football Saturday complemented by a handful of exciting college hoops matchups, this evening’s Rider-Manhattan MAAC showdown probably isn’t catch the eye of most bettors.
Sharps, however, have taken notice.
They’re concerned strictly with finding value, regardless of a game’s surrounding hype, and that’s led them to action on this largely-forgotten-about one. Let’s take a look at how our PRO Report is breaking it down.
Note: Data as of 11:45 a.m. ET
College Basketball Picks: Rider vs. Manhattan
Big bets from sharps have landed on the home dog, and one of our PRO Betting Systems suggests that history is on their side.
Sharp Action
While this game is still relatively young in its betting-market life, the early bet split shows bettors taking a slight spread preference to Manhattan — 53% to 47%. But such a balanced distribution isn’t really enough to induce a line change, unless, of course, sharps are involved.
In this case, a Sports Insights Bet Signal on Manhattan has confirmed this line move to be the result of professional action.
Sharp Action edge: Manhattan
Big Money
Also providing reason for sportsbooks to take notice has been the amount of money they’ve taken on Manhattan. Again, it’s very early and these figures are likely to regress as tipoff approaches, but as of the late morning, 98% of the actual money hitting this spread has landed on the underdog.
And while that’s noteworthy to a sportsbook for obvious reasons, it perhaps more importantly reveals that Manhattan is drawing much bigger bets — the ones more likely to come from sharps.
Big Money edge: Manhattan
PRO Systems
As for the historically profitable angle, Manhattan comes into this game with a significantly worse against-the-spread record — albeit through one game — than Rider. And while that may not sound like a good thing, it’s led to some betting value in the past.
Manhattan therefore is a match for one of our PRO Betting Systems: Poor ATS vs. Good ATS Teams. It’s returned a 55% win rate on a sample of more than 3,000 games since 2005.
PRO Systems edge: Manhattan