Rich Graessle/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Sean Clifford
Michigan State vs. Penn State Odds
| Michigan State Odds | +15.5 |
| Penn State Odds | -15.5 |
| Over/Under | 46.5 |
| PRO Projection | PSU -13.3 | 47.9 |
| Time | 12 p.m. ET |
| TV | ABC |
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The 2020 edition of Michigan State vs. Penn State isn’t expected to be all that close. Penn State’s -650 moneyline odds imply roughly an 85% chance of a Nittany Lions victory, but a double-digit point spread has caused some disagreement between sharps and the betting public.
Michigan State vs. Penn State Sharp Betting Picks
To seek out the sharp action on this game, it doesn’t take a whole lot more than a look at the line movement as it compares to betting percentages.
Most bettors seem to feel comfortable taking an underdog north of two touchdowns in a conference matchup, but the line hasn’t reflected that. In fact, despite 69% of bettors landing on Michigan State, Penn State has gone from -14.5 to -15, or -15.5, across most of the market.
Why would sportsbooks shift toward the unpopular side? Most likely, it’s because sharps are among those taking it.
Sure enough, Sports Insights Bet Signals have confirmed four unique instances of sharp action hitting Penn State at -14.5, explaining the need to increase the number and lighting up the Sharp Action indicator on our PRO Report.
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The same story is unfolding on the total. Sportsbooks opened this number at 49.5, and as of Saturday morning, two-thirds of bettors have taken the over.
But once again, it’s the unpopular side that has the respect of the books, as the total is now being offered down at 46.5. Another four SI Bet Signals have confirmed sharp action to be the cause of the fall.